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Market Valuation

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Different valuation factors applied to global markets.

Green areas indicate undervaluation. Yellow areas indicate fair valuation. Any other area indicates overvaluation.

More info in the post CAPE and other market valuation factors post.

Charts: select an area to zoom in / double click to reset zoom.

CAPE

44.76VERY HIGH

The cyclically-adjusted price-to-earnings (CAPE), as defined by Robert Shiller, calculated not with the S&P500, but with all listed companies weighted by size   –

Stats
Average = 35.74
Moving average (20 points) = 46.16
Correlation w/ other market factors
0.98613   with EV/FCFF (10 acct. periods)
0.68189   with P/FCFE (10 acct. periods)
0.99186   with EV/FCFF (10 acct. periods)
0.73227   with P/FCFE (10 acct. periods)

EV/FCFF (10 acct. periods)

87.09

Size-weighted average enterprise value (EV) in relation to the size-weighted moving average (10 years) free cash flow to the firm (FCFF) of all the companies in the selected market.   –

Stats
Average = 75.39
Moving average (20 points) = 88.48
Correlation w/ other market factors
0.98613   with CAPE
0.58743   with P/FCFE (10 acct. periods)
0.99186   with CAPE
0.69882   with P/FCFE (10 acct. periods)

P/FCFE (10 acct. periods)

51.69VERY HIGH

Size-weighted average market capitalization (P) in relation to the size-weighted moving average (10 years) free cash flow to equity (FCFE) of all the companies in the selected market.   –

Stats
Average = 46.24
Moving average (20 points) = 53.31
Correlation w/ other market factors
0.68189   with CAPE
0.58743   with EV/FCFF (10 acct. periods)
0.73227   with CAPE
0.69882   with EV/FCFF (10 acct. periods)
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