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Market Valuation

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Different valuation factors applied to global markets.

Green areas indicate undervaluation. Yellow areas indicate fair valuation. Any other area indicates overvaluation.

More info in the post CAPE and other market valuation factors post.

Charts: select an area to zoom in / double click to reset zoom.

CAPE

52.44VERY HIGH

The cyclically-adjusted price-to-earnings (CAPE), as defined by Robert Shiller, calculated not with the S&P500, but with all listed companies weighted by size   –

Stats
Average = 36.34
Moving average (20 points) = 52.44
Correlation w/ other market factors
0.98604   with EV/FCFF (10 acct. periods)
0.70838   with P/FCFE (10 acct. periods)
0.99262   with EV/FCFF (10 acct. periods)
0.75363   with P/FCFE (10 acct. periods)

EV/FCFF (10 acct. periods)

94.54

Size-weighted average enterprise value (EV) in relation to the size-weighted moving average (10 years) free cash flow to the firm (FCFF) of all the companies in the selected market.   –

Stats
Average = 76.13
Moving average (20 points) = 94.54
Correlation w/ other market factors
0.98604   with CAPE
0.61576   with P/FCFE (10 acct. periods)
0.99262   with CAPE
0.72357   with P/FCFE (10 acct. periods)

P/FCFE (10 acct. periods)

60.60VERY HIGH

Size-weighted average market capitalization (P) in relation to the size-weighted moving average (10 years) free cash flow to equity (FCFE) of all the companies in the selected market.   –

Stats
Average = 46.77
Moving average (20 points) = 60.60
Correlation w/ other market factors
0.70838   with CAPE
0.61576   with EV/FCFF (10 acct. periods)
0.75363   with CAPE
0.72357   with EV/FCFF (10 acct. periods)
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